{"id":35070,"date":"2024-09-19T12:16:33","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T10:16:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ivsz.hu\/uncategorized\/a-digitalis-gazdasag-sulya-a-magyar-nemzetgazdasagban-2024\/"},"modified":"2025-07-16T13:32:49","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T11:32:49","slug":"the-importance-of-the-digital-economy-in-the-hungarian-national-economy-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ivsz.hu\/en\/research\/the-importance-of-the-digital-economy-in-the-hungarian-national-economy-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"A digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g s\u00falya a magyar nemzetgazdas\u00e1gban 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

A digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g a magyar brutt\u00f3 hozz\u00e1adott \u00e9rt\u00e9k \u00f6t\u00f6d\u00e9t adja<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

A digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g a magyar brutt\u00f3 hozz\u00e1adott \u00e9rt\u00e9k (GVA) 18%-\u00e1t adja, a szektor foglalkoztat\u00e1si s\u00falya pedig az el\u0151z\u0151 kutat\u00e1s \u00f3ta t\u00f6bb mint negyed\u00e9vel n\u0151tt, \u00edgy a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g \u00f6sszesen mintegy 935 ezer munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3nak biztos\u00edtott k\u00f6zvetlen vagy k\u00f6zvetett meg\u00e9lhet\u00e9st 2022-ben, ami a magyar foglalkoztatottak 19,9%-\u00e1t jelenti \u2013 der\u00fcl ki abb\u00f3l a kutat\u00e1sb\u00f3l, amely az IVSZ \u00e9s a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9ben a Nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi Miniszt\u00e9rium megb\u00edz\u00e1s\u00e1b\u00f3l k\u00e9sz\u00fclt 2024 nyar\u00e1n. A kutat\u00e1s kiemelte tov\u00e1bb\u00e1, hogy egy technol\u00f3giavez\u00e9relt fejl\u0151d\u00e9si p\u00e1lya megval\u00f3sul\u00e1sa tov\u00e1bbi er\u0151teljes l\u00f6k\u00e9st adhat a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gnak, 2030-ig k\u00f6zel 1500 milli\u00e1rd forinttal n\u00f6velve annak GVA-termel\u0151 k\u00e9pess\u00e9g\u00e9t, amivel haz\u00e1nk az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3 technol\u00f3giai \u00e9rtelemben legfejlettebb orsz\u00e1gai k\u00f6z\u00e9 ker\u00fclne.<\/strong><\/p>\n

2015 ut\u00e1n imm\u00e1r harmadik alkalommal k\u00e9sz\u00fclt \u00e1tfog\u00f3 elemz\u00e9s a hazai digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi s\u00faly\u00e1r\u00f3l ez\u00fattal az IVSZ \u00e9s a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9ben. A kutat\u00e1s legfontosabb meg\u00e1llap\u00edt\u00e1sa, hogy a szektor k\u00f6zel egy\u00f6t\u00f6d\u00e9t adja a hazai gazdas\u00e1gi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nynek, foglalkoztat\u00e1si hat\u00e1sa ugyanakkor az elm\u00falt id\u0151szakban m\u00e9g dinamikusabban emelkedett, valamint hogy a digit\u00e1lis technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k main\u00e1l is robusztusabb t\u00e9rnyer\u00e9se eset\u00e9n a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g lehet a hazai gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s egyik hajt\u00f3ereje. <\/span><\/p>\n

A tanulm\u00e1ny sz\u00e1mos ponton igazolta, hogy a korm\u00e1ny \u00e9s az ipar\u00e1g szoros egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9nek nincs alternat\u00edv\u00e1ja, minden a szektorba fektetett forint sokszorosan t\u00e9r\u00fcl meg mind a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokat, mind a foglalkoztat\u00e1st illet\u0151en<\/span><\/i> \u2013 komment\u00e1lta az eredm\u00e9nyeket Szabados Rich\u00e1rd, az NGM \u00e1llamtitk\u00e1ra.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Az IKT szektor \u00e9s a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g Magyarorsz\u00e1gon<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

A digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g mind haz\u00e1nkban, mind az EU-ban folyamatosan b\u0151v\u00fcl, hiszen a digit\u00e1lis transzform\u00e1ci\u00f3 az egyes nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi \u00e1gazatok bels\u0151 folyamatait, m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t, esetenk\u00e9nt \u00fczleti modelljeit is jelent\u0151s m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben \u00e1talak\u00edtja, egyre t\u00f6bb \u00e1gazatot \u00e9s v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1st k\u00e9sztetve saj\u00e1t bels\u0151 digit\u00e1lis k\u00e9pess\u00e9gek kialak\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra.<\/span><\/p>\n

Magyarorsz\u00e1gon a hazai IKT szektor sz\u00e1mottev\u0151 fejl\u0151d\u00e9st mutatott a 2001-2023 id\u0151szakban: az IKT feldolgoz\u00f3ipar 6,2%-os, az IKT szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1s pedig 6,4%-os \u00e9ves \u00e1tlagos n\u00f6veked\u00e9st \u00e9rt el. A hazai IKT szektor dinamizmus\u00e1t \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151\u00e1ll\u00f3s\u00e1g\u00e1t j\u00f3l mutatja, hogy 2022-re a szektor GVA-ja 25%-kal haladta meg a kor\u00e1bbi, 2019-ben k\u00e9sz\u00fclt kutat\u00e1s organikus p\u00e1ly\u00e1ra vonatkoz\u00f3 becsl\u00e9s\u00e9t, \u00e9s alig 5%-kal maradt el a technol\u00f3gia-vez\u00e9relt p\u00e1ly\u00e1t \u00e9rint\u0151 akkori el\u0151rejelz\u00e9st\u0151l.<\/span><\/p>\n

A makrogazdas\u00e1gi m\u00f3dszertan seg\u00edts\u00e9g\u00e9vel sz\u00e1mszer\u0171s\u00edtett tovagy\u0171r\u0171z\u0151 hat\u00e1sok tov\u00e1bbi 6,32 ezer milli\u00e1rd forinttal n\u00f6velt\u00e9k a szektor k\u00f6zvetlen GVA hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rul\u00e1s\u00e1t 2022-ben, \u00edgy a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g 2022-ben \u00f6sszesen 10,1\u202fezer\u202fmilli\u00e1rd\u202fforint GVA l\u00e9trej\u00f6tt\u00e9hez j\u00e1rult hozz\u00e1 a magyar gazdas\u00e1gban, ami a teljes nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi GVA 18%-\u00e1t jelentette abban az \u00e9vben.<\/span><\/p>\n

A szektorban k\u00f6zvetlen\u00fcl foglalkoztatottak sz\u00e1ma 2009 \u00e9s 2023 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt m\u00e1sf\u00e9lszeres\u00e9re, 170 ezerr\u0151l 253 ezer f\u0151re n\u0151tt. A foglalkoztat\u00e1si multiplik\u00e1torral sz\u00e1molva 2022-ben a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g tov\u00e1bbi 682 ezer (\u00f6sszesen mintegy 935 ezer) munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3nak biztos\u00edtott k\u00f6zvetlen vagy k\u00f6zvetett meg\u00e9lhet\u00e9st, ami a hazai foglalkoztatottak 19,9%-\u00e1t jelentette abban az \u00e9vben.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAz adatokb\u00f3l l\u00e1tszik, hogy a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g Magyarorsz\u00e1g gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek egyik legfontosabb motorja lehet, de ehhez sz\u00fcks\u00e9g van a megfelel\u0151 szakpolitikai int\u00e9zked\u00e9sekre, \u00e9s arra, hogy a technol\u00f3giai fejl\u0151d\u00e9s kiemelt helyen szerepeljen a korm\u00e1nyzati priorit\u00e1sok k\u00f6z\u00f6tt. Ennek m\u00e1r vannak is jelei, t\u00f6bbek k\u00f6z\u00f6tt a Versenyk\u00e9pess\u00e9gi strat\u00e9gia form\u00e1j\u00e1ban, amelyben kiemelt szerepet kap az IKT szektor fejleszt\u00e9se. Ha el\u00e9rj\u00fck az abban megfogalmazott c\u00e9lokat, m\u00e1ris sokat tett\u00fcnk az\u00e9rt, hogy Magyarorsz\u00e1g csatlakozhasson Eur\u00f3pa vezet\u0151 digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gai k\u00f6r\u00e9be\u201d – komment\u00e1lta a kutat\u00e1s eredm\u00e9nyeit dr. Vinnai Bal\u00e1zs, az IVSZ eln\u00f6ke.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Progn\u00f3zis: stagn\u00e1l\u00e1s vagy ezermilli\u00e1rdos n\u00f6veked\u00e9s<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

A kutat\u00e1sban egy, a hazai digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g fejl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9t 2030-ig el\u0151revet\u00edt\u0151 is szerepel, amelyben az organikus fejl\u0151d\u00e9si p\u00e1lya mellett egy, az IKT-alap\u00fa technol\u00f3gi\u00e1k eddigin\u00e9l is lend\u00fcletesebb t\u00e9rnyer\u00e9s\u00e9vel sz\u00e1mol\u00f3 technol\u00f3giavez\u00e9relt n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1ly\u00e1t, illetve egy, az \u00e1gazat s\u00faly\u00e1nak visszaes\u00e9s\u00e9vel sz\u00e1mol\u00f3 pesszimista szcen\u00e1ri\u00f3t is felv\u00e1zolt.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Az <\/span>organikus n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1lya<\/strong> ment\u00e9n az id\u0151szak v\u00e9g\u00e9re az IKT szektor \u00e1ltal k\u00f6zvetlen\u00fcl megtermelt GVA csaknem 8 ezer milli\u00e1rd forintra emelkedhet, ami a v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi GVA 8,2%-\u00e1t tenn\u00e9 ki 2030-ban, a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g \u00e1ltal el\u0151\u00e1ll\u00edtott GVA pedig a 2022-es \u00e9rt\u00e9k t\u00f6bb mint k\u00e9tszeres\u00e9re, 21 ezer milli\u00e1rd forintra b\u0151v\u00fclne ugyanennek az id\u0151szaknak a v\u00e9g\u00e9re, amivel a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi s\u00falya a 2022-es 18%-r\u00f3l 21,8%-ra emelkedne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Egy <\/span>k\u00f6vetkezetes, technol\u00f3giavez\u00e9relt fejl\u0151d\u00e9si p\u00e1lya<\/strong> megval\u00f3sul\u00e1sa eset\u00e9n 2030-ra az IKT szektor \u00e1ltal megtermelt GVA 8470 milli\u00e1rd forintra emelkedhet, ami az \u00e1gazat k\u00f6zvetlen (GVA-r\u00e9szesed\u00e9sben kifejezett) nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi s\u00faly\u00e1t 8,8%-ra emeln\u00e9, m\u00edg a technol\u00f3giavez\u00e9relt p\u00e1lya ment\u00e9n a digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gban megtermelt GVA nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rul\u00e1sa a 2022-es 18%-r\u00f3l 23,3%-ra n\u0151ne, amivel haz\u00e1nk az Eur\u00f3pai Uni\u00f3 technol\u00f3giai \u00e9rtelemben legfejlettebb orsz\u00e1gai k\u00f6z\u00e9 ker\u00fclne.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Egy<\/span> pesszimista n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1lya<\/strong> ment\u00e9n az IKT-szektor \u00e1ltal megtermelt GVA nomin\u00e1lisan a jelenlegi 4 ezer milli\u00e1rd forintos \u00e9rt\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcl stagn\u00e1lna, amivel a szektor nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi s\u00falya 6,7%-r\u00f3l 2030-ra 4,1%-ra esne vissza. A pesszimista n\u00f6veked\u00e9si p\u00e1lya megval\u00f3sul\u00e1s\u00e1val a hazai digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gban megtermelt GVA 10 ezer milli\u00e1rd forint k\u00f6r\u00fcl stagn\u00e1lna \u2013 2010-es \u00c1KM \u00e9rt\u00e9kekkel sz\u00e1molva \u2013 az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9si horizonton, amivel jelent\u0151sen, a 2022-es 18%-r\u00f3l 11% al\u00e1 cs\u00f6kkenne a ter\u00fclet nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi GVA-hoz val\u00f3 hozz\u00e1j\u00e1rul\u00e1si ar\u00e1nya.<\/span><\/p>\n

A projektet az IVSZ oldal\u00e1r\u00f3l t\u00e1mogatta<\/h2>\n
\n\n\n
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2015 ut\u00e1n imm\u00e1r harmadik alkalommal k\u00e9sz\u00fclt \u00e1tfog\u00f3 elemz\u00e9s a hazai digit\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1g nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi s\u00faly\u00e1r\u00f3l ez\u00fattal az IVSZ \u00e9s a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g egy\u00fcttm\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1063],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-35070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research"],"acf":{"gradiens_header_hasznalata":false,"header_kep":false,"header_kep_meret":"cover","header_kep_pozicio":"center-center","hatter_video":false,"vedett_tartalom":false,"vedett_tartalom_szoveg":"","vedett_tartalom_korlatozas_hozzaferese":[],"rovid_cim":"","rovid_leiras":"2015 ut\u00e1n imm\u00e1r harmadik alkalommal k\u00e9sz\u00fclt \u00e1tfog\u00f3 elemz\u00e9s a 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